Football probabilities with the evidence left in.

Model expects Venezia to score ~1.70 goals and Fiorentina ~0.58 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Venezia is the most likely outcome (64.4% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 39.9%.

Model expects Sevilla to score ~3.35 goals and Valencia ~0.28 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Sevilla is the most likely outcome (92.8% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 70.1%.

Model expects Racing Santander to score ~1.12 goals and Alaves ~3.70 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Alaves is the most likely outcome (83.0% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 85.8%.

Model expects Genoa to score ~0.28 goals and Frosinone ~3.46 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Frosinone is the most likely outcome (93.3% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 71.9%.

Model expects Bournemouth to score ~0.76 goals and Brentford ~2.06 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Brentford is the most likely outcome (67.2% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 53.4%.

Model expects Liverpool to score ~3.98 goals and Fulham ~1.23 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Liverpool is the most likely outcome (83.8% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 89.0%.

Model expects Chelsea to score ~0.31 goals and Hull City ~1.73 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Hull City is the most likely outcome (72.7% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 33.3%.

Model expects Crystal Palace to score ~3.03 goals and Ipswich ~2.63 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Crystal Palace is the most likely outcome (47.7% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 92.1%.

Model expects Aston Villa to score ~0.64 goals and Nottingham Forest ~0.86 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Nottingham Forest is the most likely outcome (37.8% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 19.2%.

Model expects Osasuna to score ~1.33 goals and Espanyol ~1.67 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Espanyol is the most likely outcome (44.8% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 57.6%.

Model expects Lazio to score ~0.76 goals and AC Milan ~0.41 goals based on recent attack/defense form. a draw is the most likely outcome (42.5% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 11.4%.

Model expects Tottenham to score ~0.11 goals and Everton ~2.06 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Everton is the most likely outcome (84.1% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 37.0%.

Model expects Athletic Club to score ~3.83 goals and Elche ~1.16 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Athletic Club is the most likely outcome (83.6% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 87.2%.

Model expects Atalanta to score ~0.38 goals and Cagliari ~0.49 goals based on recent attack/defense form. a draw is the most likely outcome (50.8% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 5.8%.

Model expects Sunderland to score ~0.21 goals and Arsenal ~1.30 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Arsenal is the most likely outcome (65.1% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 19.4%.

Model expects Real Madrid to score ~5.11 goals and Rayo Vallecano ~1.04 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Real Madrid is the most likely outcome (93.0% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 94.0%.

Model expects Celta Vigo to score ~0.60 goals and Malaga ~0.19 goals based on recent attack/defense form. a draw is the most likely outcome (51.5% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 4.5%.

Model expects Coventry to score ~0.19 goals and Brighton ~3.29 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Brighton is the most likely outcome (93.7% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 67.4%.

Model expects Lecce to score ~1.51 goals and Monza ~1.65 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Monza is the most likely outcome (40.5% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 61.2%.

Model expects Levante to score ~0.64 goals and Barcelona ~4.07 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Barcelona is the most likely outcome (92.2% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 84.5%.

Model expects Manchester United to score ~1.17 goals and Manchester City ~2.50 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Manchester City is the most likely outcome (65.9% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 70.9%.

Model expects Napoli to score ~1.42 goals and Bologna ~0.74 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Napoli is the most likely outcome (52.6% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 36.7%.

Model expects Getafe to score ~0.53 goals and Deportivo La Coruna ~1.85 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Deportivo La Coruna is the most likely outcome (68.8% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 42.6%.

Model expects Sassuolo to score ~0.47 goals and Juventus ~1.65 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Juventus is the most likely outcome (66.0% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 35.6%.

Model expects Real Sociedad to score ~1.64 goals and Atletico Madrid ~1.90 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Atletico Madrid is the most likely outcome (43.9% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 68.5%.